Iintsingiselo kunye nokukhula kweMarike yeZikhumba zokwenziwa kwihlabathi liphela ngo-2026

Imakethi yesikhumba esenziweyo yehlabathi ikhula ngamandla ngo-2026, iqhutywa kukwanda kwemfuno kulo lonke ilizwe.icandelo lefenitshala, izihlangu, iimoto, kunye nemithwalo, kunye nokukhulauzinzoizinto ezibalulekileyo. Ixabisa malunga ne-USD 41.47 yeebhiliyoni ngo-2026, imakethi kulindeleke ukuba igcine izinga lokukhula lonyaka elidibeneyo (CAGR) le-8.2% ukuya kutsho ngo-2030, lifikelele kwi-USD 57.49 yeebhiliyoni, ngokophando lweshishini. Olu kukhula lubonisa utshintsho olukhethwa ngabathengi, ubuchule bobuchwephesha, kunye neemeko zomthetho eziguqukayo kwihlabathi liphela.

Ubungakanani beMarike kunye neMimandla yeSithili

I-Asia-Pacific ilawula imakethi yehlabathi, ithatha ngaphezulu kwe-40% yesabelo siphela ngo-2026, apho i-China ingumvelisi ohamba phambili kunye nomthengi, ine-70% yamandla okuvelisa ehlabathini. Ukukhula kwalo mmandla kukhuthazwa kukukhula ngokukhawuleza kwemizi-mveliso, ishishini lefashoni elichumayo, kunye nokwanda kwemveliso yeemoto. UMntla Melika neYurophu zilandela ngokusondeleyo, ziqhutywa yimithetho eqinileyo yozinzo kunye nokunyuka kwemfuno ye-izixhobo ezinobuhlobo nokusingqongileyoEYurophu, imakethi ixhamla kugxininiso lwe-EU kwimigaqo-nkqubo yoqoqosho olujikelezayo kunye nemfuno yabathengiayinazilwanyanaiimveliso, ngelixa uMntla Melika ubona ukuthandwa okukhulu kweendawo zangaphakathi zeemoto kunye nezicelo zeempahla zobunewunewu.

Izinto Eziphambili Ezibangela Ukukhula

1. Uxanduva lokuZinzaUtshintsho oluya kwimveliso eqaphela indalo lunyuse imfunoiphinda isetyenziswekwayeulusu olusekelwe kwibhayolojiezinye iindlela. Izinto zesikhumba zePET ezisetyenzisiweyo kunye nezinto ezisekelwe kwibhayoloji ngoku zenza i-34.6% yokusetyenziswa kwezinto ezikrwada kwihlabathi liphela, apho abavelisi betyala imali kwiinkqubo zemveliso ezingenayo i-carbon ukuze bahlangabezane neenjongo ze-ESG. Imithetho ye-EU efana ne-CBAM (i-Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism) ikhawulezise ukwamkelwa kwezisombululo zesikhumba ezenziwe nge-low-carbon.
2. Imfuno Ethile Kumashishini:
3. Iimoto: Ngaphezulu kwama-45% ezigqubuthelo zezihlalo zeemoto zaseAsia-Pacific ngoku zisebenzisa ulusu lwe-PU okanye lwe-microfiber, oluqhutywa kukusebenza kakuhle kweendleko kunye neendlela zezinto ze-vegan kwizithuthi zombane (ii-EV). Ulusu oluyilwe ngokwenziwa olumelana nobushushu noluzilungisayo luvela njengophawu oluphezulu kwiimodeli ze-EV eziphezulu.
4. Izihlangu kunye nemithwalo: Indlela yokudlala imidlalo yokuzonwabisa inyuse imfuno yesikhumba se-PU esiguquguqukayo nesiphefumlayo kwiimpahla zemidlalo kunye nezihlangu, ngelixa izinto eziqinileyo nezikwaziyo ukumelana nokukrweleka zifunwa kakhulu kwimithwalo yexabiso eliphezulu kunye nezixhobo zokuhamba.
5. Ifenitshala: Ibanga lorhweboulusu lokwenziwaithatha indawo yezinto zemveli kwifenitshala yehotele neyeofisi, ezixatyiswa ngenxa yokuba kulula ukuyilungisa kunye nokumelana nokuguguleka kwayo. Iimpawu zefenitshala ezizinzileyo ziya zibeka phambili ngakumbiulusu olusetyenzisiweyoezinye iindlela zokufezekisa iziqinisekiso zezakhiwo eziluhlaza.

Ukwahlulwahlulwa kwezinto

Isikhumba se-PUIseseyicandelo eliphambili, liphethe ngaphezulu kwama-60% esabelo semarike yehlabathi ngenxa yokuqina kwayo okuphezulu, ukuguquguquka kwayo, kunye nokusebenza kakuhle kweendleko xa kuthelekiswa nePVC.Isikhumba sePVCisetyenziswa kakhulu kwizicelo ezixabisa kakhulu njengefenitshala esisiseko kunye nezakhiwo zangaphakathi zeemoto, ngelixa ulusu olusekelwe kwibhayoloji lulo olukhula ngokukhawuleza, kunye ne-CAGR edlula i-12% ukuya kutsho ku-2030.Isikhumba se-Microfiber, exatyiswa ngomgangatho wayo ophezulu, isetyenziswa kakhulu kwizihlangu zobunewunewu, izihlalo zeemoto, kunye nefenitshala yexabiso eliphezulu.

Imingeni kunye namathuba

Imingeniziquka ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ezinto ezikrwada (ii-resins ezisekelwe kwi-petroleum, ii-feedstocks ezisekelwe kwi-bio) kunye nokhuphiswano olukhulu kwicandelo le-PVC elingabizi kakhulu, nto leyo ekhokelele kuxinzelelo lwemali kubavelisi abancinci. Ukongeza, imigaqo-nkqubo yorhwebo lwehlabathi eyahlukeneyo kunye neerhafu zichaphazela ukusebenza kakuhle kwekhonkco lokubonelela, ngakumbi kubathengisi bangaphandle base-Asia.

Amathubalala ngaphakathi:

• Uyilo lwezinto ezizinzileyo: Utyalo-mali kubuchwepheshe besikhumba esisekelwe kwibhayoloji kunye nemveliso yesikhumba sePET esetyenzisiweyo ukuze kulungiselelwe abathengi abathobela i-ESG.
• IiMarike Ezisakhulayo: Ukufudukela kwabantu ezidolophini ngokukhawuleza eMzantsi-mpuma Asia, eLatin America, nakuMbindi Mpuma kuqhuba imfuno yefenitshala kunye nezihlangu ezenziwe ngofele olungabizi kakhulu kodwa olunesitayile.
• Ukwenziwa ngokwezifiso kunye neenkonzo ezongeziweyo: Abathengi be-B2B bafuna ngakumbi izisombululo ezenzelwe wena (umbala, ubunjani, ukusebenza) kunye neekhonkco zobonelelo ezinokuthenjwa, nto leyo edala amathuba kubavelisi abanezakhono zokuvelisa eziguquguqukayo.

Imbono yexesha elizayo

Ixesha lowama-2026-2030 liza kubona ukuqhubeka kokuhlanganiswa kwemarike, kunye nabadlali abaphambili abagxile kwi-R&D kunye nokuzinza ukuze bafumane ithuba lokukhuphisana. Iinkampani ezinolwazi kwizicelo zamashishini amaninzi (ifenitshala, izihlangu, iimoto, imithwalo) kunye nezikhokelo zokuthobela i-ESG eziqinileyo zikulungele ukubamba ukukhula. Njengoko abathengi kunye nabalawuli bebeka phambili ukuzinza, ulusu olungeyolwenziweyo luya kutshintsha ukusuka kwindlela engabizi kakhulu ukuya kwizinto ezikumgangatho ophezulu, ezinobuhlobo nokusingqongileyo kwiikhonkco zokubonelela zehlabathi.

Kubathengi be-B2B, ukusebenzisana nabavelisi ababonelela ngepotifoliyo yemveliso eyahlukeneyo (i-PVC, i-PU, i-recycled, isikhumba esisekelwe kwi-bio) kunye nerekhodi eliqinisekisiweyo lokulawula umgangatho kunye nokuhanjiswa ngexesha kubalulekile ekuhambeni kweli shishini liguqukayo.